Clinical trials landscape¶
TL;DR — The trial landscape spans repurposed drugs, ion-channel targets, topical agents, cortical stimulation, SCS/DRG and rehabilitation. Registry status is not efficacy: completed trials may be unpublished, “unknown” often reflects stale verification, and recruiting studies can fail. Current examples include phenotype-stratified pregabalin/duloxetine (NCT06614322), closed-loop DBS (NCT04144972) and CIPN scrambler therapy (NCT06914557), all verified live on 2026-08-30.
Registry snapshot¶
| NCT | Population | Intervention | Status 2026-08-30 |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCT06614322 | Painful peripheral neuropathy | QST + pregabalin/duloxetine | Recruiting |
| NCT04144972 | Refractory chronic pain | Closed-loop DBS | Recruiting |
| NCT06914557 | CIPN | Scrambler + usual care | Recruiting |
| NCT06522685 | CIPN | Remote tDCS | Not yet recruiting |
| NCT06010251 | SCI pain | tDCS + bodily illusion | Recruiting |
| NCT05005026 | SCI pain | Virtual walking | Recruiting |
The snapshot is a monitoring sample, not an exhaustive trial census. Live ClinicalTrials.gov v2 records were re-queried on 2026-08-30; the table below adds enrollment and planned completion because “recruiting” alone says little about maturity.
| NCT | Brief intervention domain | Status | Enrollment | Planned/actual completion |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCT04144972 | Closed-loop DBS for refractory chronic pain | Recruiting | 12 | 2030-10-24 |
| NCT04699734 | Peripheral nerve block in painful diabetic polyneuropathy | Recruiting | 16 | 2026-12-31 |
| NCT05005026 | Virtual walking for SCI neuropathic pain | Recruiting | 250 | 2026-09 |
| NCT06010251 | tDCS plus multisensory body representation after SCI | Recruiting | 30 | 2026-10-20 |
| NCT06522685 | Remote motor-cortex tDCS and CIPN correlates | Not yet recruiting | 80 | 2029-06-30 |
| NCT06614322 | QST-stratified pregabalin/duloxetine (SPENDD) | Recruiting | 190 | 2028-06 |
| NCT06834685 | Photobiomodulation for CIPN pain | Recruiting | 70 | 2028-12 |
| NCT06914557 | Scrambler therapy plus duloxetine-based care | Recruiting | 50 | 2027-06-30 |
Enrollment is the registry's planned or actual count, not the analyzable denominator. Completion dates can move and should be re-queried before any claim that results are overdue.
Completed anchors¶
NCT00300222 tested capsaicin in PHN; NCT00407745 tested pregabalin in SCI pain; NCT03029884 tested closed-loop DBS. Completion does not establish positive results.
| NCT | Registry intervention/population | Status on 2026-08-30 | Enrollment | Interpretation boundary |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCT00300222 | NGX-4010/capsaicin for PHN | Completed | 400 | Requires linked publication and prespecified outcome check |
| NCT00407745 | Pregabalin for SCI neuropathic pain | Completed | 220 | Registration does not show effect size or attrition |
| NCT00993070 | Topical capsaicin in painful diabetic neuropathy | Completed | 33 | Small phase 2 study; not the later 369-person pivotal RCT |
| NCT03029884 | Closed-loop DBS for refractory neuropathic pain | Completed | 4 | Feasibility scale; no comparative efficacy inference |
| NCT03176472 | Ricolinostat in painful diabetic neuropathy | Completed | 282 | Completion requires publication/results linkage |
| NCT06074562 | LY3556050/mazisotine in diabetic neuropathic pain | Completed | 404 | Registry status is neutral about success or failure |
Painful diabetes¶
NCT06074562 tested mazisotine; NCT03176472 ricolinostat; NCT00993070 capsaicin; NCT04699734 remains recruiting for nerve block.
Painful-diabetes trials illustrate three development routes: reformulating established peripheral mechanisms (capsaicin), targeting novel molecular pathways (ricolinostat and LY3556050), and moving to procedures after pharmacologic failure. The successful 10-kHz SCS RCT enrolled 216 selected implant candidates and reported a 79% versus 5% six-month composite response, but used medical management rather than invasive sham (Petersen 2021, PMID 33818600). Novel-drug programs need target-engagement evidence because plausible ion-channel biology has repeatedly failed to translate into broad efficacy (Dickenson 2021, PMID 33899639).
CIPN¶
The field includes acupuncture (NCT04917796), neurofeedback (NCT02573766), photobiomodulation (NCT06834685) and scrambler therapy (NCT06914557).
Registry status on 2026-08-30 was active, not recruiting for neurofeedback (NCT02573766; enrollment 91) and electroacupuncture (NCT04917796; enrollment 255), while photobiomodulation and scrambler therapy were recruiting. This modality diversity reflects a thin established-treatment base: duloxetine's pivotal five-week trial found a 0.73-point mean advantage over placebo (95% CI 0.26–1.20), and ASCO judged benefit limited (Smith 2013, PMID 23549581); (Loprinzi 2020, PMID 32663120).
CIPN trials should stratify or prespecify chemotherapy class, cumulative exposure, time since treatment and painful versus painless neuropathy. Pooling taxane, platinum, vinca-alkaloid and proteasome-inhibitor injury can dilute a mechanism-specific signal (Seretny 2014, PMID 25261162).
Failure patterns¶
Small samples, etiologic pooling, enriched withdrawal, short follow-up, mean-only outcomes and missing publication weaken inference (Sauzet 2013, PMID 23042476).
Sauzet and colleagues found neuropathic-pain RCT quality and reporting uneven, with short durations and variable diagnostic rigor (Sauzet 2013, PMID 23042476). Enriched-enrollment randomized-withdrawal designs can improve assay sensitivity but estimate maintenance among initial tolerators/responders, not effectiveness in all treatment-naïve patients. Crossover designs improve efficiency for stable pain but require adequate washout and are vulnerable to period and carryover effects.
| Design | Strength | Bias/estimand risk | Minimum report |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parallel placebo-controlled | Clear randomized contrast | Placebo response and attrition | Allocation, masking, responder thresholds and all randomized participants |
| Active-comparator | Direct clinical choice | Noninferiority margin and open-label bias | Margin justification and both ITT/per-protocol analyses |
| Crossover | Within-person efficiency | Carryover, period effects, selective completion | Washout, sequence, period estimate and first-period sensitivity |
| Enriched withdrawal | Detects maintenance in initial responders | Excludes nonresponders/intolerant participants | Enrichment losses and restricted estimand |
| Device versus usual care | Pragmatic treatment-package effect | No invasive sham; expectation and crossover | Failed trials, implantation denominator and procedural harms |
| Phenotype-stratified | Tests treatment heterogeneity | Low interaction power; multiplicity | Prespecified phenotype and interaction CI |
Design priorities¶
Use confirmed grading, report ≥30%/≥50% responders, function and harms, prespecify phenotype interactions, and follow devices for revision/explant.
“Clinically important” should not be assigned from a universal one-point rule. Across 66 chronic-pain studies/31,254 patients, median absolute minimal important change was 23/100 (IQR 12–39) and relative change 34% (IQR 22–45), with heterogeneity I²=99% and 96%; baseline pain explained much absolute-threshold variation (Olsen 2018, PMID 29793007). Trials should therefore report continuous change, cumulative responder curves, ≥30% and ≥50% response, and patient global change.
Harms require the same denominator discipline as efficacy. Drug trials should report adverse-event withdrawals and dose exposure; topical trials application pain and sensory change; implants failed trials, infection, revision and explant; and stimulation studies headache, seizure and discontinuation. A statistically significant pain mean without functional or harm context is not a complete net-benefit estimate (Edwards 2023, PMID 36198371).
Mechanism trials¶
Candidate channel biology is strong, but past modulators show why target engagement and phenotype enrichment are essential (Dickenson 2021, PMID 33899639).
Oxcarbazepine provided 0.7/10 more pain relief than placebo (95% CI 0.4–1.4) and showed a phenotype interaction of 0.7 (95% CI 0.01–1.4); NNT for ≥50% relief was 3.9 in the irritable versus 13 in the non-irritable nociceptor phenotype (Demant 2014, PMID 25139589). That result motivated precision designs but was not a universal validation of QST guidance.
A later lacosamide trial closed early with 63 randomized participants. The phenotype interaction CI crossed no effect (0.41, 95% CI −1.2 to 2.0); overall mean pain did not differ, although responder NNTs were 4.0 (95% CI 2.3–16.1) for ≥30% and 5.0 (95% CI 2.8–24.5) for ≥50% relief (Carmland 2024, PMID 37565715). The contrast is an explicit unresolved replication problem, not evidence that phenotyping is useless.
Translation¶
Registry-to-publication linkage and results reporting are core evidence-quality outcomes, not administrative details.
For each completed record, curation should reconcile registered primary outcome, time point, enrollment, analysis population and adverse events with the publication. A title-level match is insufficient: outcome switching, delayed publication and unreported negative secondary outcomes can distort the apparent landscape. Active records should be revisited after their completion date rather than labeled “failed” when a planned date passes.
Evidence interpretation map¶
The table makes the evidence role and inferential boundary explicit; it is not a replacement for the full reports.
| PMID | Year | Evidence role | What it cannot establish alone |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23042476 | 2013 | Empirical audit of neuropathic-pain RCT quality | Current registry status or efficacy of a modality |
| 29793007 | 2018 | Quantifies instability of chronic-pain MCID | A single universal responder threshold |
| 25139589 | 2014 | Positive phenotype-by-oxcarbazepine interaction | Replicable class-wide precision rule |
| 37565715 | 2024 | Lacosamide phenotype-stratified replication attempt | Definitive absence of a small interaction after early closure |
| 33818600 | 2021 | Large device-versus-medical-care PDN RCT | Invasive-sham-specific effect |
| 36198371 | 2023 | Precision-pain development recommendations | Validation of any one candidate biomarker |
Explicit controversies¶
- Phenotype enrichment: signal or unstable subgroup? Oxcarbazepine produced a nominally significant interaction (Demant 2014, PMID 25139589); lacosamide did not reproduce prediction and was underpowered after early closure (Carmland 2024, PMID 37565715). SPENDD (NCT06614322) is therefore testing an unresolved strategy, not implementing a validated test.
- Implanted-device sham requirements. Large treatment-package effects in PDN (Petersen 2021, PMID 33818600) coexist with very-low-certainty placebo-controlled chronic-pain evidence (O'Connell 2021, PMID 34854473). Ethical and technical sham constraints remain central to interpretation.
- Mean pain versus responder outcomes. Lacosamide showed no overall primary mean effect but favorable responder NNTs (Carmland 2024, PMID 37565715). Multiplicity, distribution shape and prespecification determine whether that is a meaningful signal or chance secondary finding.
- Completed versus known. NCT03029884 is completed with enrollment four, while NCT06074562 is completed with enrollment 404; neither status alone reveals direction, publication completeness or clinical importance. Registry completion must remain evidence-neutral.
Minimum reporting controls¶
| Domain | Required report |
|---|---|
| Case definition | Possible, probable or definite neuropathic pain |
| Etiology | Lesion/disease and diagnostic evidence |
| Distribution | Focal, length-dependent, dermatomal, at-level or below-level |
| Baseline phenotype | Negative and positive sensory signs |
| Comparator | Placebo/sham, active care or natural history |
| Exposure | Dose, duration, adherence and co-interventions |
| Benefit | Mean change plus ≥30% and ≥50% responders where applicable |
| Function | Sleep, mobility, participation and patient global change |
| Harm | Adverse events, withdrawals and serious events |
| Durability | Follow-up after treatment and attrition |
| Subgroups | Prespecified interaction test, not within-group significance |
| Missingness | Denominator and imputation method |
Reporting cautions¶
- Do not infer lesion presence from a symptom descriptor.
- Do not convert a group-average association into an individual diagnostic rule.
- Do not treat statistical significance as clinically important benefit.
- Do not compare NNTs without checking outcome threshold, duration and population.
- Do not interpret an inactive or completed registry record as proof of efficacy.
- Do not merge painful and painless neuropathy outcomes.
- Do not omit adverse-event withdrawals from responder interpretation.
- Do not call a post hoc subgroup predictive without an interaction test.
- Do not generalize a focal peripheral result to central neuropathic pain.
- State when evidence is short-term, indirect or restricted to a selected cohort.
Open questions¶
- Will SPENDD validate QST-guided selection?
- Can closed-loop systems outperform open-loop stimulation?
- Which CIPN modality survives sham control?
- How many completed trials remain unpublished?
Related pages¶
References¶
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