Clinical-trials landscape¶
TL;DR — The asthma pipeline has shifted from proving bronchodilation and broad anti-inflammatory efficacy toward upstream alarmins, longer-interval biologics, remission, airway remodeling, attack interception, obesity-associated disease and implementation. The key design change is equally important: future trials must distinguish symptom improvement from severe-attack prevention, oral-steroid sparing, disease modification and equitable delivery. As of a live ClinicalTrials.gov API v2 re-query on 2026-08-30, active examples include phase 3 dupilumab remission testing ([NCT07309614](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT07309614){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}), phase 2 high-risk-asthma lunsekimig ([NCT06676319](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06676319){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}), emergency-department tezepelumab ([NCT06705764](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06705764){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}) and a 2,000-person SMART implementation study ([NCT07241117](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT07241117){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}). Registry status is provisional, not evidence of efficacy.
How this landscape was assembled¶
ClinicalTrials.gov API v2 was queried live on 2026-08-29 for six asthma domains: biologics, alarmins, remission/disease modification, digital monitoring, prevention/preschool wheeze and non-eosinophilic/type-2-low disease. The search returned 482 unique registry records. Every tracked identifier was re-fetched individually on 2026-08-30, and focused searches for biologic comparison, withdrawal, pregnancy, type-2-low disease and prevention were repeated. The table below is a purposive horizon scan, not a complete trial registry export.
PubMed was queried separately for completed trials and systematic evidence. Every PMID and every NCT identifier on this page was resolved live in this session.
Interpret registry fields cautiously:
- “recruiting” can lag site-level reality;
- estimated enrollment and completion can change;
- a posted primary outcome may be amended;
- registration does not imply peer review, regulatory endorsement or positive results;
- completed registry status does not mean results are publicly available.
What established the present platform¶
| Development | Landmark signal | What remained unanswered |
|---|---|---|
| Early ICS in mild disease | Budesonide reduced severe events, HR 0.56 (95% CI 0.45–0.71) (Pauwels 2003, PMID 12672309) | Prevention versus suppression; minimum exposure |
| Anti-inflammatory reliever | As-needed budesonide–formoterol reduced severe attacks versus SABA alone, rate ratio 0.36 (0.27–0.49) (O'Byrne 2018, PMID 29768149) | Pediatric formulations, implementation and long-term trajectories |
| Anti-IgE | Omalizumab established targeted therapy for allergic severe asthma (Hanania 2011, PMID 21536936) | Reliable individual response prediction |
| Anti-IL-5 | Mepolizumab cut attacks in selected eosinophilic disease (Pavord 2012, PMID 22901886) | Remission, withdrawal and residual non-eosinophilic attacks |
| Anti-IL-4Rα | Dupilumab linked response to eosinophil/FeNO biology (Castro 2018, PMID 29782217) | Comparative selection and long-term modification |
| Anti-TSLP | Tezepelumab reduced attacks across broad biomarker strata (Menzies-Gow 2021, PMID 33979488) | Which low-marker patients derive clinically meaningful absolute benefit |
| Macrolide strategy | AMAZES reduced exacerbations in persistent uncontrolled adult asthma (Gibson 2017, PMID 28687413) | Resistance ecology and responder definition |
These successes define the new comparator problem: placebo on top of optimized care, active biologic comparison, and implementation against real access barriers are more informative than another short symptom-only study.
Active horizon scan¶
Status and registry details below are as posted on 2026-08-30.
Upstream and next-generation biologics¶
| Trial | Registry status; design | Population/enrollment | Primary question |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lunsekimig high-risk asthma | [NCT06676319](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06676319){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}; active, not recruiting; phase 2 | Adults 18–80; actual n=556 | Annualized exacerbation rate through 52 weeks |
| Verekitug VALOUR | [NCT06966479](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06966479){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}; active, not recruiting; phase 2 | Severe adult asthma; actual n=396 | Long-term adverse and serious adverse events to week 64 |
| GSK5784283 dose finding | [NCT06748053](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06748053){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}; active, not recruiting; phase 2 | Uncontrolled asthma age 18–75; actual n=307 | FeNO change across doses through week 26 |
| CDX-622 first asthma cohort | [NCT07330778](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT07330778){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}; recruiting; phase 1 | Mild-to-moderate adult asthma; estimated n=12 | Safety/tolerability through day 85 |
| Depemokimab age 6–11 | [NCT07671001](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT07671001){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}; recruiting; phase 3 | Children 6–11; estimated n=34 | Plasma concentration through week 52 |
Lunsekimig is positioned in high-risk disease and uses attacks as the principal endpoint. GSK5784283 instead uses FeNO change as a phase 2 primary endpoint, a pharmacodynamic decision signal rather than direct proof of patient benefit. CDX-622 is an early safety study whose sample is intentionally too small to establish efficacy.
Longer-interval depemokimab development tests whether dosing convenience can preserve biologic effect. The pediatric study’s primary pharmacokinetic endpoint is appropriate for bridging but does not independently establish comparative clinical benefit.
Attack interception¶
TERAA tests a single tezepelumab strategy in adults presenting with emergency-room asthma, with moderate/severe exacerbations through 90 days as primary outcome; it is phase 4, recruiting, estimated n=100 ([NCT06705764](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06705764){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}).
This changes timing from chronic prevention to event-linked intervention. Key interpretation issues will include standard acute therapy, phenotype at presentation, discharge adherence and whether benefit extends beyond suppressing one post-attack high-risk window.
Biomarker-defined hospitalized attacks are heterogeneous and can shift at recurrence, supporting prospective sampling rather than assuming every attack reproduces the stable-state phenotype (Ghanizada 2024, PMID 39169832).
Remission and remodeling¶
| Trial | Design | Endpoint concept |
|---|---|---|
| Dupilumab remission trial | [NCT07309614](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT07309614){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}; recruiting phase 3; adults; estimated n=150 | Win ratio based on remission criteria through week 56 |
| ReNORM | [NCT07174713](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT07174713){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}; not yet recruiting; observational/interventional biologic cohort; n=200 | Imaging, spirometric and symptom remission at years 1–2 |
| Depemokimab imaging/bronchoscopy substudy | [NCT06979323](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06979323){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}; recruiting phase 3; n=150 | Change in total mucus-plug volume at week 26 |
| Dupilumab withdrawal | [NCT06818019](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06818019){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}; not yet recruiting phase 4; estimated n=205 | Strategy failure over 24 months after stopping dupilumab |
“Remission” is not yet a single endpoint. Candidate domains include no severe attacks, no systemic corticosteroids, controlled symptoms, stable/normal lung function, suppressed inflammation and absence of treatment toxicity. Trials must state whether remission is on treatment or after withdrawal.
Mucus-plug imaging creates an intermediate structural endpoint. A treatment can reduce plugs without proving durable modification; conversely, attacks can fall without complete imaging resolution.
Systematic review of severe-asthma biologic cohorts found variable remission definitions and attainment, limiting cross-study comparison (Shackleford 2025, PMID 39549709). A core outcome set is needed before “remission-inducing” becomes a marketing label.
The withdrawal registration corrects a previously stale evidence-gap formulation: as of 2026-08-30, a prospective stopping strategy is registered, but recruitment has not started and no outcome result is available. The unresolved question is therefore not whether a withdrawal study exists, but whether its strategy can identify durable off-treatment control without excess failure.
Pregnancy-safety evidence generation¶
Asthma pregnancy evidence remains observational rather than pivotal-RCT evidence, but it is not an empty registry landscape. A completed North American post-authorization study enrolled 581 dupilumab-exposed or comparator pregnancies and included asthma among eligible conditions ([NCT04173442](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT04173442){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}); the historical omalizumab EXPECT registry completed with 309 participants ([NCT00373061](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT00373061){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}). A benralizumab exposure study terminated after enrolling 299 participants ([NCT03794999](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT03794999){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}). Registry completion or enrollment does not establish comparative safety; posted results, disease-severity adjustment and infant follow-up determine what can be inferred.
Obesity-associated asthma¶
A phase 3 trial plans metformin versus placebo in children aged 10–17 with obesity-associated asthma, estimated n=182, with 26-week ACT change as primary outcome ([NCT07622290](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT07622290){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}).
The trial targets metabolic biology rather than escalating airway immunosuppression. Its symptom-score endpoint should be interpreted alongside attacks, lung function, weight/metabolic change and adverse effects. Obesity-related breathlessness can improve without changing airway inflammation, and vice versa.
Weight-loss RCT review suggests clinically relevant control gains in some adults and mixed pediatric effects, but trials remain small and heterogeneous (Okoniewski 2019, PMID 30605347).
Type-2-low and provocation biology¶
A phase 1 nasal endotoxin-challenge study plans single-cell RNA sequencing of neutrophil heterogeneity in adults with asthma, estimated n=60 ([NCT06270576](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06270576){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}). Its registry status is “not yet recruiting” despite an estimated April 2024 start, an internal inconsistency that requires direct site confirmation.
Challenge studies can establish pathway engagement with small samples but may not reproduce spontaneous infection/pollution-driven attacks. The major type-2-low gap remains a validated marker-treatment pair with attack reduction.
Macrolide meta-analysis and AMAZES support efficacy in some uncontrolled asthma, but antimicrobial resistance, cardiac/hearing risk and unclear mechanistic selection prevent indiscriminate use (Gibson 2017, PMID 28687413; Ohnishi 2024, PMID 38296770).
Digital monitoring and implementation¶
| Trial | Population/enrollment | Intervention and main outcome |
|---|---|---|
| CHEST SMART implementation | [NCT07241117](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT07241117){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}; recruiting phase 4; age ≥12; n=2,000 | Community-health-center implementation bundle; patient effectiveness, clinician adoption and clinic prescribing |
| Pediatric digital management | [NCT06902766](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06902766){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}; recruiting; age 4–12; n=50 | Active digital-inhaler telemonitoring; change in composite severity index at 8 months |
| Smart inhaler in intellectual/developmental disability | [NCT07746921](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT07746921){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}; not yet recruiting; age 10–17; n=34 | Active versus passive remote system; feasibility, acceptability and usability |
CHEST treats uptake as a co-primary scientific problem, which is appropriate when efficacy already exceeds routine adoption. It should report reach, fidelity and disparities as well as prescribing.
The disability-focused smart-inhaler trial addresses a population commonly excluded from digital research. Feasibility is an appropriate first endpoint, but later trials must measure caregiver workload, accessibility, control, attacks and privacy harms.
Digital interventions improved adherence more reliably than attacks in a 40-RCT Cochrane review (Chan 2022, PMID 35691614). An electronic-monitor meta-analysis found adherence SMD 0.41 (95% CI 0.22–0.60) but uncertain ACT improvement, SMD 0.47 (−0.14 to 1.08) (Garin 2023, PMID 36986513).
Prevention and environmental modification¶
A cluster-style kindergarten rewilding study is recruiting 320 children aged 1–5, comparing biodiversity intervention with playground equipment; its primary endpoint is skin Gammaproteobacteria through three years ([NCT06390878](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06390878){target="_blank" rel="noopener"}).
This is a mechanistic prevention study, not yet a test that rewilding prevents asthma. Microbial endpoints need linkage to clinical allergic/wheeze outcomes and assessment of exposures, geography and unintended harms.
Early ICS in high-risk preschool children improved disease during treatment but did not change the post-withdrawal course (Guilbert 2006, PMID 16687711). Prevention trials therefore need off-treatment clinical endpoints and long follow-up.
Pipeline by biological layer¶
| Layer | Established targets | Current frontier | Main failure mode |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bronchoconstriction | β2-agonist, antimuscarinic | Combined anti-inflammatory rescue | Symptom relief without risk reduction |
| Adaptive type-2 | IgE, IL-5/5R, IL-4Rα | Better selection, switching, withdrawal | Biomarker overlap and no direct comparisons |
| Epithelial alarm | TSLP | IL-33/ST2 and multi-alarmin approaches | Biology may not translate to incremental benefit |
| Mucus/remodeling | Indirect biologic effects | Plug imaging, structural and vascular reversal | Surrogate change without durable outcomes |
| Non-type-2 | Macrolide in selected adults | Neutrophil/protease/metabolic targets | Unstable phenotype and infection confounding |
| Delivery/system | Action plans, adherence support | SMART implementation, accessible monitoring | Digital divide and surveillance burden |
| Prevention | Exposure reduction, sensitization research | Microbiome/biodiversity, early risk modification | Long latency and phenotype dilution |
Trial-design priorities¶
Choose endpoints that patients feel¶
| Domain | Preferred measure |
|---|---|
| Attacks | Annualized severe attacks plus proportion attack-free |
| Steroid harm | Cumulative systemic dose, maintenance dose and toxicity |
| Symptoms | Validated control score with minimal important difference |
| Function | Pre/post-bronchodilator FEV1, activity and work/school participation |
| Quality of life | Validated patient-reported instrument |
| Safety | Serious events plus mechanism-specific surveillance |
| Equity | Enrollment, retention and benefit by access-relevant strata |
Composite remission endpoints should not allow a large biomarker change to compensate for continued attacks. Hierarchical win-ratio approaches need transparent ordering and component results.
Improve comparators¶
- biologic head-to-head trials in overlapping eligibility;
- optimized usual care with documented technique/adherence;
- active reliever comparators rather than obsolete SABA-only care where inappropriate;
- pragmatic formulary and access comparisons;
- withdrawal studies after sustained response;
- mechanism-specific add-on designs for residual attacks.
Network meta-analyses can compare biologics indirectly but inherit cross-trial differences in eligibility, biomarkers, OCS use and endpoints (Edris 2019, PMID 31395084). They do not replace randomized head-to-head trials.
Represent the population¶
Pregnant people, older adults, smokers, people with multimorbidity, low-resource populations and those with cognitive/disability-related support needs are underrepresented. Pediatric bridging must account for dose, device, development and natural history, not only body weight.
Severe-asthma registries show substantial geographic and treatment heterogeneity, making external validity a design requirement (Wang 2020, PMID 31785254).
Reading a new trial result¶
- Was asthma objectively confirmed?
- Was background therapy optimized and actual adherence measured?
- Was the population enriched by attack history and a plausible target?
- Is the outcome a patient benefit, surrogate or implementation measure?
- Report both relative and absolute effects with confidence intervals.
- Examine every component of composites.
- Check missing data, estimand, multiplicity and early stopping.
- Compare harms, burden and cost with realistic alternatives.
- Ask whether sites and participants resemble intended practice.
- Confirm registry-specified outcomes against the publication.
Open questions¶
- Can biologics produce durable off-treatment remission or only treatment-dependent control?
- Which upstream combination provides incremental benefit without unacceptable immune risk?
- What is the correct trial phenotype for type-2-low asthma?
- Can post-attack biologic intervention alter the next 90-day risk window? ([NCT06705764](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06705764){target="_blank" rel="noopener"})
- Which implementation bundle makes anti-inflammatory reliever therapy equitable and sustainable? ([NCT07241117](https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT07241117){target="_blank" rel="noopener"})
- Do imaging and molecular surrogate changes predict attacks, function and quality of life?
Related pages¶
- severe asthma and biologics — established targeted therapy.
- biomarkers — enrichment and response measures.
- airway immunobiology and remodeling — target rationale.
- genetics, environment and prevention — prevention hypotheses.
- patient experience and advocacy — meaningful outcomes and access.
References¶
- ClinicalTrials.gov API v2. Live asthma landscape re-query, 2026-08-30. NCT07309614; NCT07671001; NCT06676319; NCT06966479; NCT06748053.
- ClinicalTrials.gov API v2. Live asthma landscape re-query, 2026-08-30. NCT06705764; NCT07330778; NCT07622290; NCT07746921; NCT07241117.
- ClinicalTrials.gov API v2. Live asthma landscape re-query, 2026-08-30. NCT06902766; NCT06390878; NCT06270576; NCT07174713; NCT06979323; NCT06818019.
- ClinicalTrials.gov API v2. Live pregnancy-safety re-query, 2026-08-30. NCT04173442; NCT00373061; NCT03794999.
- Pauwels RA, et al. Early intervention with budesonide in mild persistent asthma. Lancet. 2003. PMID 12672309
- O'Byrne PM, et al. As-needed budesonide–formoterol in mild asthma. N Engl J Med. 2018. PMID 29768149
- Hanania NA, et al. Omalizumab in severe allergic asthma inadequately controlled with standard therapy. Ann Intern Med. 2011. PMID 21536936
- Pavord ID, et al. Mepolizumab for severe eosinophilic asthma: DREAM. Lancet. 2012. PMID 22901886
- Castro M, et al. Dupilumab efficacy and safety in uncontrolled asthma. N Engl J Med. 2018. PMID 29782217
- Menzies-Gow A, et al. Tezepelumab in severe uncontrolled asthma. N Engl J Med. 2021. PMID 33979488
- Gibson PG, et al. Azithromycin in persistent uncontrolled asthma: AMAZES. Lancet. 2017. PMID 28687413
- Ghanizada M, et al. Biomarker-defined infective and inflammatory hospitalized-attack phenotypes. Eur Respir J. 2024. PMID 39169832
- Shackleford TK, et al. Severe-asthma biologic remission: systematic review and meta-analysis. Eur Respir Rev. 2025. PMID 39549709
- Okoniewski W, et al. Weight loss in obesity and asthma: systematic review. Ann Am Thorac Soc. 2019. PMID 30605347
- Ohnishi H, et al. Macrolides in adult asthma: systematic review and meta-analysis. Respir Investig. 2024. PMID 38296770
- Chan A, et al. Digital interventions to improve asthma maintenance adherence. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2022. PMID 35691614
- Garin N, et al. Electronic inhaler monitoring: systematic review and meta-analysis. Pharmaceuticals. 2023. PMID 36986513
- Guilbert TW, et al. Long-term ICS in preschool children at high asthma risk. N Engl J Med. 2006. PMID 16687711
- Edris A, et al. Monoclonal antibodies in type-2 asthma: systematic review and network meta-analysis. Respir Res. 2019. PMID 31395084
- Wang E, et al. Characterization of severe asthma worldwide: ISAR. Chest. 2020. PMID 31785254