Clinical trials landscape¶
TL;DR — The 2025 pipeline held 138 unique drugs across 182 registered trials: biological disease-targeted therapies 30%, small-molecule disease-targeted therapies 43%, cognitive enhancers 14%, neuropsychiatric agents 11%; repurposed agents made up 33% of the pipeline and biomarkers were a primary outcome in 27% of active trials (Cummings 2025, PMID 40463637). Populating the global subset requires 32,284 participants, 25,628 of them for phase 3, across 5,361 sites of which 50% are in the United States and only 7% in low- and middle-income countries (Cummings 2025, PMID 40555627). The centre of gravity has shifted upstream: the two positive symptomatic-stage antibody programmes have moved into preclinical AD (TRAILBLAZER-ALZ 3, NCT05026866, n≈2,996, active, primary completion Nov 2027; AHEAD 3-45, NCT04468659, n≈1,400, active, primary completion Dec 2028), while next-generation amyloid agents test subcutaneous delivery and brain-shuttle transport (TRAILRUNNER-ALZ 3, NCT06653153; trontinemab phase 3, NCT07169578 and NCT07170150). Tau has target engagement without a clinical result — the MAPT antisense oligonucleotide now named diranersen reduced CSF t-tau by 56% (95% CI 50–62) in phase 1b and is in a 416-participant phase 2 (NCT05399888). The largest repurposing bet has now reported: oral semaglutide did not slow CDR-SB decline at 104 weeks in evoke or evoke+ (differences −0.08, 95% CI −0.35 to 0.20, and +0.10, −0.17 to 0.38) (Cummings 2026, PMID 41865758; NCT04777396; NCT04777409).
All NCT identifiers on this page were retrieved from live ClinicalTrials.gov API queries on 2026-08-31. Statuses and dates are as recorded on that date and must be re-queried before reuse.
Pipeline shape¶
| Category | Share of 2025 pipeline |
|---|---|
| Small-molecule disease-targeted therapies | 43% |
| Biological disease-targeted therapies | 30% |
| Cognitive enhancers | 14% |
| Neuropsychiatric symptom agents | 11% |
| Repurposed agents (across categories) | 33% |
| Active trials with a biomarker primary outcome | 27% |
Source: Cummings 2025, PMID 40463637 (138 drugs, 182 trials, 15 distinct targeted disease processes; both counts higher than the 2024 pipeline).
Geography is skewed. Of active trials, 33% are global; 73% of phase 3 trials are global versus a lower share at phase 1–2; 46 countries participate, 28% of them low- or middle-income; but only 7% of the 5,361 sites are in low- and middle-income countries even though those countries carry the majority of dementia cases and the largest projected growth (Cummings 2025, PMID 40555627; see epidemiology and burden). Eighty-nine percent of global trials are industry-sponsored.
Amyloid: symptomatic stage¶
| Trial | NCT | Status (2026-08-31) | n | Design | Key dates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLARITY AD (lecanemab) | NCT03887455 | Active, not recruiting | 1,906 actual | Phase 3; IV and SC lecanemab vs placebo; core primary CDR-SB at 18 months, extension safety | Start 2019-03-27; completion 2029-06-30 |
| TRAILBLAZER-ALZ 2 (donanemab) | NCT04437511 | Active, not recruiting | 1,736 actual | Phase 3; primary iADRS at week 76 in overall and low/medium-tau populations | Start 2020-06-19; primary completion 2023-04-14; completion 2028-11 |
| TRAILBLAZER-ALZ 4 (donanemab vs aducanumab) | NCT05108922 | Completed | 148 actual | Phase 3 open-label; primary = complete amyloid clearance on florbetapir PET at 6 months | 2021-11-16 to 2023-09-19 |
| TRAILBLAZER-ALZ 6 (donanemab dosing/ARIA) | NCT05738486 | Active, not recruiting | 1,175 actual | Phase 3; primary = any ARIA-E occurrence across dosing regimens | Start 2023-02-28; primary completion 2024-05-16 |
| Donanemab real-world comparative study | NCT06566170 | Recruiting | 6,250 estimated | Donanemab + usual care vs usual care; primary = time to first increase in Dependence Scale level | Start 2024-10-07; primary completion 2033-02 |
Results for CLARITY AD (van Dyck 2023, PMID 36449413), TRAILBLAZER-ALZ 2 (Sims 2023, PMID 37459141) and TRAILBLAZER-ALZ 4 are on anti-amyloid immunotherapy.
Amyloid: preclinical and secondary prevention¶
| Trial | NCT | Status | n | Population and primary outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRAILBLAZER-ALZ 3 (donanemab) | NCT05026866 | Active, not recruiting | 2,996 estimated | Preclinical AD; primary = time to clinical progression on a CDR-based composite; primary completion 2027-11 |
| AHEAD 3-45 (lecanemab) | NCT04468659 | Active, not recruiting | 1,400 estimated | Two sub-trials: A45 primary = PACC5 change at week 216; A3 primary = amyloid PET SUVr change at week 216; primary completion 2028-12-21, completion 2031-01-16 |
| A4 (solanezumab) | NCT02008357 | Completed | 1,169 actual | Preclinical AD; PACC at ~240 weeks. Reported: no effect (difference −0.30, 95% CI −0.82 to 0.22, P=0.26) (Sperling 2023, PMID 37458272) |
| Trontinemab, cognitively unimpaired at risk | NCT07717411 | Not yet recruiting | 1,600 estimated | Primary = time to progression, confirmed CDR global score >0; start planned 2026-11-30 |
A4 is the completed control case for this design: an antibody that did not lower plaque (amyloid rose in both arms, +11.6 vs +19.3 Centiloids) produced no clinical effect over 240 weeks. TRAILBLAZER-ALZ 3 and AHEAD 3-45 test the opposite condition — deep clearance started before symptoms.
Amyloid: next generation¶
| Agent | NCT | Status | n | Distinguishing feature |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remternetug (TRAILRUNNER-ALZ 3) | NCT06653153 | Active, not recruiting | 1,400 estimated | Subcutaneous; primary = time to clinically meaningful CDR progression; completion 2030-10 |
| Remternetug (DIAN-TU) | NCT06647498, NCT05552157 | Recruiting | 280 estimated each | Dominantly inherited AD; stage 1 primary = change in amyloid load (Centiloids, ¹¹C-PiB PET); primary completion 2034 |
| Trontinemab (brain-shuttle) | NCT07169578, NCT07170150 | Recruiting | 800 estimated each | Transferrin-receptor shuttle for enhanced brain penetration; primary = CDR-SB change at week 72 |
| Trontinemab phase 1b/2 (Brainshuttle AD) | NCT04639050 | Active, not recruiting | 241 actual | Multiple ascending dose; primary = adverse events |
| Lecanemab in dominantly inherited AD (DIAN-TU ART) | NCT06384573 | Active, not recruiting | 40 actual | Amyloid Removal Trial; primary = time to recurrent CDR-SB progression; completion 2030-06 |
| Donanemab + RG6289 in PSEN1 carriers | NCT06996730 | Not yet recruiting | 240 estimated | Combination amyloid + gamma-secretase modulator; primary = Centiloid change |
Tau¶
| Programme | NCT | Status | n | Result or endpoint |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IONIS-MAPTRx / BIIB080 phase 1b | NCT03186989 | Completed | 46 actual | Dose-dependent CSF t-tau reduction 56% (95% CI 50–62) and p-tau181 51% (38–63); tau-PET reduction, largest in the temporal composite (−0.71 SUVR, 95% CI −1.40 to −0.02) at week 100 (Edwards 2023, PMID 37902726) |
| Diranersen (BIIB080) phase 2 | NCT05399888 | Active, not recruiting | 416 actual | Primary = dose response in CDR-SB change to week 76; primary completion 2026-03-11 |
| E2814 with concurrent lecanemab | NCT06602258 | Active, not recruiting | 105 actual | Primary = CSF MTBR-tau-243 change at 6 months — a target-engagement endpoint for combination therapy |
| Alzheimer's Tau Platform master protocol | NCT06957418, NCT07167966 | Recruiting / enrolling by invitation | 900 / 450 estimated | Primary = tau-PET reduction; regimen A pairs AADvac1 with donanemab |
| AV-1980R tau vaccine (TAURUS-1980) | NCT07158905 | Recruiting | 48 estimated | Phase 1 in preclinical AD; primary = treatment-emergent adverse events |
| Anti-tau monoclonal antibodies (gosuranemab, semorinemab, tilavonemab, zagotenemab) | — | Reported | 2,193 across 6 RCTs | Network meta-analysis: placebo ranked best on CDR-SB and ADCS-ADL (SUCRA 75.7% and 79.5%) (Cai 2024, PMID 39945003) |
| Gosuranemab (TANGO) | NCT03352557 | Terminated | 654 actual | Phase 2, 78 weeks. High-dose CDR-SB change 1.85 vs 1.85 placebo; CSF unbound N-terminal tau reduced at all doses (P<0.0001) (Shulman 2023, PMID 38012285) |
| Semorinemab (Tauriel) | NCT03289143 | Terminated | 457 actual | Phase 2, 73 weeks, n=422 mITT. CDR-SB Δ 2.19 placebo vs 2.36–2.41 across doses (Teng 2022, PMID 35696185) |
The strategic question the tau field is answering is whether extracellular antibody clearance failed because the target is intracellular. Diranersen (production reduction) and E2814 (targeting the microtubule-binding region, with a CSF MTBR-tau-243 endpoint) are the two live tests. See tau biology and spread.
Non-amyloid, non-tau¶
| Programme | NCT | Status | n | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semaglutide (evoke, evoke+) | NCT04777396, NCT04777409 | Completed | Registry: 1,840 each; publication: 1,855 / 1,953 randomised | Oral semaglutide up to 14 mg vs placebo. At week 104, CDR-SB differences were −0.08 (95% CI −0.35 to 0.20; P=0.57) and +0.10 (−0.17 to 0.38; P=0.46): neither trial was efficacious. Treatment-emergent adverse events occurred in 91.2% vs 84.8%; 5 deaths were considered treatment-related by investigators (1 semaglutide, 4 placebo) (Cummings 2026, PMID 41865758) |
| Liraglutide (ELAD) | NCT01843075 | Unknown (registry); publication 2026 | 204 actual | Phase 2b, 52 weeks, non-diabetic mild-to-moderate AD. Primary cerebral glucose metabolic rate difference −0.17 (−0.39 to 0.06, P=0.14); unadjusted ADAS-Exec 0.15 (0.03–0.28, P=0.01); no ADCS-ADL or CDR-SB difference (Edison 2026, PMID 41326666) |
| AL002 (TREM2 agonist, INVOKE-2) | NCT04592874 | Completed | 356 actual | Phase 2, 381 randomised. Target engaged (CSF sTREM2 down, osteopontin up); CDR-SB at week 96 missed at all doses (LS differences −0.31 to +0.13, all P>0.05); ARIA-like MRI the most frequent TEAE (Mummery 2026, PMID 41787076) |
| Minocycline (MAD) | ISRCTN16105064 | Published | 544 | 200 or 400 mg vs placebo, 24 months, mild AD. sMMSE decline 4.1 vs 4.3 points (difference 0.1, −1.1 to 1.2, P=0.90); 400 mg poorly tolerated (Howard 2020, PMID 31738372) |
| Verubecestat EPOCH / APECS | NCT01739348 / NCT01953601 | Terminated | 2,211 / 1,454 actual | BACE1 inhibition. EPOCH: no ADAS-cog or ADCS-ADL benefit at 78 weeks (Egan 2018, PMID 29719179). APECS: 40 mg worse than placebo on CDR-SB (2.02 vs 1.58, P=0.01) and faster progression to dementia (HR 1.38) (Egan 2019, PMID 30970186) |
| ALZ-801 (valiltramiprosate), APOE4/4 early AD | NCT04770220 | Completed | 325 actual | Phase 3 in APOE ε4 homozygotes; primary = ADAS-Cog13; primary completion 2024-05-29 |
| Hydromethylthionine (TRx0237, LUCIDITY) | NCT03446001 | Completed | 598 actual | Phase 3, 16 vs 8 mg/day vs control; primary = ADAS-cog11 |
| Blarcamesine (ANAVEX2-73) open-label extension | NCT04314934 | Completed | 300 actual | Primary = treatment-related adverse events |
| IL-2 plus semaglutide | NCT07651319 | Recruiting | 30 estimated | Phase 1/2 immunomodulation |
| Semaglutide + intranasal insulin (COMMETS) | NCT06072963 | Recruiting | 80 estimated | Phase 2, metabolic combination |
Repurposed agents are a third of the pipeline (PMID 40463637), and the GLP-1 class was the largest single repurposing bet. Its two null phase 3 results now join the null 12-month intranasal-insulin phase 2/3 precedent (Craft 2020, PMID 32568367), discussed on vascular and metabolic contributions.
Prevention and non-drug trials¶
| Trial | NCT | Status | n | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FINGER | NCT01041989 | Unknown (registry status) | 1,200 estimated | Between-group NTB difference 0.022 z/year (95% CI 0.002–0.042, P=0.030) (Ngandu 2015, PMID 25771249) |
| US POINTER | NCT03688126 | Completed | 2,000 actual | Structured vs self-guided difference 0.029 SD/year (95% CI 0.008–0.050, P=0.008); both arms improved (Baker 2025, PMID 40720610) |
| ACHIEVE (hearing) | NCT03243422 | Completed | 977 actual | Primary null: difference 0.002 (95% CI −0.077 to 0.081, P=0.96); prespecified cohort interaction p=0.010 (Lin 2023, PMID 37478886) |
| SPRINT (MIND substudy) | NCT01206062 | Completed | 9,361 actual | Probable dementia HR 0.83 (0.67–1.04); MCI HR 0.81 (0.69–0.95) (PMID 30688979) |
| D-CARE (care models) | NCT03786471 | Completed | 2,176 actual | No difference between health-system, community-based and usual dementia care on behavioural symptoms or caregiver strain (Reuben 2025, PMID 39878968) |
Symptom-directed trials¶
| Trial | NCT | Status | n | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brexpiprazole for agitation | NCT03548584 | Completed | 345 actual | CMAI difference −5.32 (95% CI −8.77 to −1.87), P=0.003, Cohen d 0.35 (Lee 2023, PMID 37930669) |
| CitAD (citalopram for agitation) | NCT00898807 | Completed | 186 actual | NBRS-A −0.93 (95% CI −1.80 to −0.06); MMSE −1.05; QTc +18.1 ms (Porsteinsson 2014, PMID 24549548) |
| HARMONY (pimavanserin, dementia-related psychosis) | NCT03325556 | Completed | 392 actual | Discontinuation design: among 217 responders, relapse 13% vs 28% on placebo (HR 0.35, 0.17–0.73, P=0.005); stopped early for efficacy (Tariot 2021, PMID 34289275) |
| AVP-923 (dextromethorphan–quinidine for agitation) | NCT01584440 | Completed | 220 actual | Phase 2 sequential parallel comparison: NPI Agitation/Aggression LS mean −1.5 and −1.6 across stages (Cummings 2015, PMID 26393847) |
| S-CitAD (escitalopram) | NCT03108846 | Active, not recruiting | 187 actual in registry; 173 randomised in publication | Primary endpoint not significantly improved; drug-related QT prolongation observed. PubMed's abstract reports an internally inconsistent point estimate and CI, so no numeric effect is reproduced (Rajji 2025, PMID 40133524) |
| ADMET 2 (methylphenidate for apathy) | NCT02346201 | Completed | 200 actual | NPI apathy difference −1.25 (95% CI −2.03 to −0.47), P=0.002 (Mintzer 2021, PMID 34570180) |
Observational and registry infrastructure¶
| Study | NCT | Status | n | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIAN | NCT00869817 | Recruiting | 700 estimated | Dominantly inherited AD natural history; primary = predictive power of biomarkers; source of the pre-symptomatic biomarker timeline (Bateman 2012, PMID 22784036) |
| Georgia Memory Net anti-amyloid mAb registry | NCT05999084 | Enrolling by invitation | 735 estimated | Real-world anti-amyloid outcomes; primary = QDRS change |
| Korean JOY-ALZ registry | NCT06889818 | Recruiting | 4,000 estimated | National treatment and diagnostics registry to 2034 |
| Epidemiology and biomarker study (p-tau217) | NCT07142954 | Recruiting | 3,400 estimated | Primary = time to cognitive worsening; a plasma-biomarker-defined cohort |
Registries are becoming the main source of post-approval effectiveness and safety data, because the pivotal trials were 18 months long and excluded anticoagulated and high-microbleed patients — see anti-amyloid immunotherapy.
The graveyard, and what it teaches¶
| Failed approach | Evidence | Lesson |
|---|---|---|
| Active Aβ42 immunisation (AN1792) | Plaque cleared (2.1% vs 5.1% mean Aβ load) yet 7 of 8 autopsied immunised participants reached severe dementia; no survival or time-to-severe-dementia benefit (Holmes 2008, PMID 18640458) | Late plaque removal alone does not stop neurodegeneration |
| γ-secretase inhibition (semagacestat) | Worse function at 140 mg (ADCS-ADL −12.6 vs −9.0, P<0.001), more skin cancers and infections (Doody 2013, PMID 23883379) | The enzyme has essential substrates |
| BACE inhibition (verubecestat, lanabecestat) | EPOCH null at 78 weeks (Egan 2018, PMID 29719179); APECS 40 mg worse than placebo on CDR-SB and faster dementia conversion (Egan 2019, PMID 30970186); pooled cognitive worsening (Wessels 2020, PMID 33049114) | Profound chronic BACE1 inhibition is not tolerated, including before dementia |
| TREM2 agonism (AL002) | Target engaged; CDR-SB missed at all doses; ARIA-like MRI (Mummery 2026, PMID 41787076) | Microglial engagement is not the same as clinical benefit |
| Monomer-targeting antibody in preclinical AD (solanezumab) | No PACC effect over 240 weeks; amyloid rose in both arms (Sperling 2023, PMID 37458272) | Engaging the wrong species produces no benefit even with an ideal population |
| Partial clearance (gantenerumab) | 56–66 Centiloid reduction, only ~27% rendered amyloid-negative, CDR-SB differences −0.31 and −0.19, both non-significant (Bateman 2023, PMID 37966285) | Depth of clearance may be threshold-dependent |
| Discordant identical trials (aducanumab) | EMERGE −0.39 (P=0.012) vs ENGAGE +0.03 (P=0.833) (Budd Haeberlein 2022, PMID 35542991) | Two identical protocols can disagree; single positive trials warrant caution |
| Extracellular anti-tau antibodies | Placebo ranked best on CDR-SB and ADCS-ADL across 6 RCTs (Cai 2024, PMID 39945003) | Compartment may matter more than target |
Long exposure before symptoms: signal, design warning, not proof¶
The DIAN-TU gantenerumab open-label extension is the clearest current illustration. Seventy-three mutation carriers received doses up to 1,500 mg every two weeks; only 13 completed three years because the sponsor stopped the study early. PiB-PET fell by an adjusted 0.71 SUVR (95% CI 0.53–0.88), while estimated hazard ratios for clinical decline in asymptomatic carriers were 0.79 (95% CI 0.47–1.32; n=53) for any gantenerumab exposure and 0.53 (0.27–1.03; n=22) for the longest exposure. ARIA occurred in 53%, including microhaemorrhage in 47% and oedema in 30% (Bateman 2025, PMID 40120616; NCT01760005; NCT06424236). The clinical intervals include no effect, and external controls plus selective long exposure prevent causal interpretation; the result is a rationale for a definitive prevention trial, not one.
CLARITY-AD’s open-label extension presents the same inferential problem at larger scale: early-start and delayed-start curves remained separated through 36 months and ARIA became uncommon after six months, but the extension lacks a concurrent placebo group and its abstract supplies no new placebo-adjusted CDR-SB estimate (van Dyck 2025, PMID 41355080; NCT03887455). In trial-landscape terms, extension studies are essential for uncommon harms and durability, but cannot replace long randomised exposure.
Structural problems the pipeline has not solved¶
- Biomarker-pure populations. Trials enrol amyloid-confirmed, low-microbleed, largely non-anticoagulated participants, whereas mixed pathology is the community norm — see vascular and metabolic contributions.
- Outcome measures. Effect sizes are reported on composites (CDR-SB, iADRS, PACC5) whose minimal clinically important differences exceed the observed treatment effects (see clinical presentation and staging). Newer designs use time-to-progression endpoints (NCT05026866, NCT06653153, NCT07717411) rather than continuous change, which changes the interpretive frame but not the effect size.
- Duration. Prevention trials need 4–8 years (AHEAD 3-45's PACC5 endpoint is at week 216; DIAN-TU remternetug runs to 2034), which makes them expensive, attrition-prone and vulnerable to standard-of-care change mid-trial.
- Geography. 7% of sites in low- and middle-income countries against the majority of the disease burden (PMID 40555627).
- Combination therapy is barely tested. E2814 + lecanemab (NCT06602258) and donanemab + RG6289 (NCT06996730) are among the few registered combinations, both with biomarker primaries.
Open questions¶
- Will deep amyloid clearance before symptom onset prevent or delay clinical AD? TRAILBLAZER-ALZ 3 (NCT05026866) and AHEAD 3-45 (NCT04468659) are the definitive tests and report in 2027–2028.
- Why did semaglutide fail despite convergent preclinical and observational signals, and can a responder subgroup be identified without converting a null trial into a post-hoc positive claim (Cummings 2026, PMID 41865758; NCT04777396; NCT04777409)?
- Does lowering tau production, as opposed to binding extracellular tau, produce clinical benefit (NCT05399888; Edwards 2023, PMID 37902726)?
- Can combination amyloid + tau therapy be evaluated on biomarker endpoints and then confirmed clinically, or does each combination need its own outcome trial (NCT06602258; NCT06996730)?
- Do brain-shuttle constructs achieve the same clearance with less ARIA, and is that testable before phase 3 completes (NCT07169578, NCT07170150)?
- What would make trial sites in low- and middle-income countries viable, given that 28% of participating countries are LMICs but only 7% of sites are (Cummings 2025, PMID 40555627)?
- Should time-to-progression endpoints replace continuous composites as the primary outcome standard, and how would that change the interpretation of already-completed trials?
Related pages¶
- Anti-amyloid immunotherapy — the trials that changed practice.
- Tau biology and spread — the tau pipeline's rationale.
- Amyloid biology — why several mechanisms failed.
- Risk reduction and prevention — the prevention-trial evidence in full.
- Fluid biomarkers — biomarkers as eligibility criteria and endpoints.
- Genetics — dominantly inherited and Down syndrome trial populations.
- Guidelines — how regulators read these trials.
References¶
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